Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool Questionnaire Predicts Decompensation and Mortality in Cirrhotic Outpatients with Portal Hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Numerous scores are designed to predict outcomes of patients with liver cirrhosis. Our study aimed to evaluate the ability of the Liver Disease Undernutrition Screening Tool (LDUST) in predicting mortality and decompensation in outpatients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). We hypothesized that LDUST could help identify patients in need of nutritional supplementation and intervention. METHODS: A prospective study of 57 CSPH patients (36.8% female, mean age: 63.5 ± 9.9 years) with a median follow-up of 41 months was conducted. Baseline liver function, nutrition, and sarcopenia were assessed, alongside LDUST. During follow-up, the occurrence of liver decompensation, hospital admission, need for emergency care, and mortality were evaluated. RESULTS: A total of 56.1% of patients were Child A, and the most frequent etiology was alcohol (50.9%). Malnutrition risk according to LDUST raised mortality (HR: 25.96 (1.47-456.78)), decompensation (HR 9.78 (2.08-45.89)), and admission (HR 4.86 (1.09-21.61)) risks in multivariate Cox analysis. Combining LDUST with Child and MELD scores improved their decompensation prediction (0.936 vs. 0.811 and 0.866 vs. 0.700). CONCLUSIONS: The LDUST has a solid ability to predict complications in cirrhosis outpatients with CSPH, and its integration with Child and MELD models enhances their predictive power. LDUST implementation could identify individuals necessitating early nutritional support.

Sugar-Sweetened and Artificially Sweetened Beverages and Risk of Liver Cancer and Chronic Liver Disease Mortality.

Importance: Approximately 65% of adults in the US consume sugar-sweetened beverages daily. Objective: To study the associations between intake of sugar-sweetened beverages, artificially sweetened beverages, and incidence of liver cancer and chronic liver disease mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective cohort with 98 786 postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 years enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative from 1993 to 1998 at 40 clinical centers in the US and were followed up to March 1, 2020. Exposures: Sugar-sweetened beverage intake was assessed based on a food frequency questionnaire administered at baseline and defined as the sum of regular soft drinks and fruit drinks (not including fruit juice); artificially sweetened beverage intake was measured at 3-year follow-up. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcomes were (1) liver cancer incidence, and (2) mortality due to chronic liver disease, defined as death from nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, alcoholic liver diseases, and chronic hepatitis. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to estimate multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for liver cancer incidence and for chronic liver disease mortality, adjusting for potential confounders including demographics and lifestyle factors. Results: During a median follow-up of 20.9 years, 207 women developed liver cancer and 148 died from chronic liver disease. At baseline, 6.8% of women consumed 1 or more sugar-sweetened beverage servings per day, and 13.1% consumed 1 or more artificially sweetened beverage servings per day at 3-year follow-up. Compared with intake of 3 or fewer servings of sugar-sweetened beverages per month, those who consumed 1 or more servings per day had a significantly higher risk of liver cancer (18.0 vs 10.3 per 100 000 person-years [P value for trend = .02]; adjusted HR, 1.85 [95% CI, 1.16-2.96]; P = .01) and chronic liver disease mortality (17.7 vs 7.1 per 100 000 person-years [P value for trend <.001]; adjusted HR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.03-2.75]; P = .04). Compared with intake of 3 or fewer artificially sweetened beverages per month, individuals who consumed 1 or more artificially sweetened beverages per day did not have significantly increased incidence of liver cancer (11.8 vs 10.2 per 100 000 person-years [P value for trend = .70]; adjusted HR, 1.17 [95% CI, 0.70-1.94]; P = .55) or chronic liver disease mortality (7.1 vs 5.3 per 100 000 person-years [P value for trend = .32]; adjusted HR, 0.95 [95% CI, 0.49-1.84]; P = .88). Conclusions and Relevance: In postmenopausal women, compared with consuming 3 or fewer servings of sugar-sweetened beverages per month, those who consumed 1 or more sugar-sweetened beverages per day had a higher incidence of liver cancer and death from chronic liver disease. Future studies should confirm these findings and identify the biological pathways of these associations.

Prediction of long-term survival among patients with cirrhosis using time-varying models.

BACKGROUND: Risk prediction among patients with cirrhosis has historically focused on short-term (ie, 90 days) mortality among patients waitlisted for a transplant. Although several models have been developed to predict intermediate and longer term survivals, they have important limitations, namely, including only baseline laboratory and clinical variables to predict survival over a time horizon of years. METHODS: We developed prediction models using time-varying laboratory and clinical data among patients with cirrhosis in the OneFlorida Clinical Research Consortium. We fit extended Cox models and assessed model discrimination and calibration in complete-case analysis and imputation of missing laboratory data. RESULTS: Among 15,277 patients, 9922 (64.9%) were included in the complete-case analysis. Final models included demographic (age and sex), time-updating laboratory (albumin, alanine transaminase, alkaline phosphatase, bilirubin, platelet, and sodium), and time-updating clinical (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, and bleeding esophageal varices) variables. Model discrimination was excellent in the complete-case analysis [AUC and concordance-index (C-index) > 0.85] at 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year time points. Model performance was unchanged with the exclusion of race and ethnicity as model predictors. Model discrimination was excellent (C-index >0.8) when imputation was used for patients with 1 or 2 missing laboratory variables. DISCUSSION: Using data from a statewide sample of patients with cirrhosis, we developed and internally validated a time-updating model to predict survival with excellent discrimination. Based on its measures of discrimination (AUC and c-index), this model matched or exceeded the performance of other published risk models depending on the time horizon. If externally validated, this risk score could improve the care of patients with cirrhosis by improving counseling on intermediate and longer term outcomes to guide clinical decision-making and advanced care planning.

MELD-GRAIL-Na Is a Better Predictor of Mortality Than MELD in Korean Patients with Cirrhosis.

Background and Objectives: The Child-Pugh (CP) score and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) are classical systems for predicting mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC). The MELD-GFR assessment in liver disease-sodium (MELD-GRAIL-Na) was designed to better reflect renal function and, therefore, provide better mortality predictions. This study aimed to compare the prediction accuracy of MELD-GRAIL-Na compared to CP and MELD in predicting short-term (1- and 3-month) mortality in Korean patients. Materials and Methods: Medical records of patients with LC admitted to the Konkuk University Hospital from 2015 to 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. Predictive values of the CP, MELD, and MELD-GRAIL-Na for 1-month and 3-month mortality were calculated using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) and were compared using DeLong's test. Results: In total, 1249 patients were enrolled; 102 died within 1 month, and 146 within 3 months. AUROCs of CP, MELD, and MELD-GRAIL-Na were 0.831, 0.847, and 0.857 for 1-month mortality and 0.837, 0.827, and 0.835 for 3-month mortality, respectively, indicating no statistical significance. For patients with CP classes B and C, AUROCs of CP, MELD, and MELD-GRAIL-Na were 0.782, 0.809, and 0.825 for 1-month mortality and 0.775, 0.769, and 0.786 for 3-month mortality, respectively. There was a significant difference between CP and MELD-GRAIL-Na in predicting 1-month mortality (p = 0.0428) and between MELD and MELD-GRAIL-Na in predicting 1-month (p = 0.0493) and 3-month mortality (p = 0.0225). Conclusions: Compared to CP and MELD, MELD-GRAIL-Na was found to be a better and more useful system for evaluating short-term (1- and 3-month) mortality in Korean patients with cirrhosis, especially those with advanced cirrhosis (CP class B and C).

Spatiotemporal Patterns of Deaths of Despair Across the U.S., 2000-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Deaths of despair (i.e., suicide, drug/alcohol overdose, and chronic liver disease and cirrhosis) have been increasing over the past 2 decades. However, no large-scale studies have examined geographic patterns of deaths of despair in the U.S. This ecologic study identifies geographic and temporal patterns of individual and co-occurring clusters of deaths of despair. METHODS: All individuals aged ≥10 years who died in the U.S. between 2000 and 2019 and resided within the 48 contiguous states and Washington, District of Columbia were included (N=2,171,105). Causes of death were limited to deaths of despair, namely suicide, drug/alcohol overdose, and chronic liver disease and cirrhosis. Univariate and multivariate space-time scan statistics were used to identify individual and co-occurring clusters with excess risk of deaths of despair. County-level RRs account for heterogeneity within each cluster. Analyses were conducted from late 2021 to early 2022. RESULTS: Six suicide clusters, four overdose clusters, nine liver disease clusters, and three co-occurring clusters of all three types of deaths were identified. A large portion of the western U.S., southeastern U.S., and Appalachia/rust belt were contained within the co-occurring clusters. The co-occurring clusters had average county RRs ranging from 1.17 (p<0.001) in the southeastern U.S. to 4.90 (p<0.001) in the western U.S. CONCLUSIONS: Findings support identifying and targeting risk factors common to all types of deaths of despair when planning public health interventions. Resources and policies that address all deaths of despair simultaneously may be beneficial for the areas contained within the co-occurring high-risk clusters.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Years of Potential Life Loss Among Patients With Cirrhosis During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: Our aim was to evaluate the impact of race/ethnicity on cirrhosis-related premature death during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We obtained cirrhosis-related death data (n = 872,965, January 1, 2012-December 31, 2021) from the US National Vital Statistic System to calculate age-standardized mortality rates and years of potential life lost (YPLL) for premature death aged 25-64 years. RESULTS: Significant racial/ethnic disparity in cirrhosis-related age-standardized mortality rates was noted prepandemic but widened during the pandemic, with the highest excess YPLL for the non-Hispanic American Indian/American Native (2020: 41.0%; 2021: 68.8%) followed by other minority groups (28.7%-45.1%), and the non-Hispanic White the lowest (2020: 20.7%; 2021: 31.6%). COVID-19 constituted >30% of the excess YPLLs for Hispanic and non-Hispanic American Indian/American Native in 2020, compared with 11.1% for non-Hispanic White. DISCUSSION: Ethnic minorities with cirrhosis experienced a disproportionate excess death and YPLLs in 2020-2021.

Isolated Hepatitis B Core Antibody Positivity and Long-Term Liver-Related Mortality in Korea: A Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Whether isolated hepatitis B core antibody (anti-HBc) positivity is a risk factor for long-term liver-related outcomes in hepatitis B virus (HBV)-endemic areas remains unclear. We aimed to investigate liver-related and liver cancer mortality of isolated anti-HBc positivity in Korean adults. METHODS: A cohort study comprised 609,299 Korean adults who underwent hepatitis B serologic markers, as a part of health examination. Liver-related and liver cancer mortality were determined using the National Death Records. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.0 years (interquartile range, 5.5-13.7 years), 554 liver-related deaths were identified (liver-related mortality, 9.6 cases per 10 5 person-years). The prevalence of isolated anti-HBc positivity was 3.8% (n = 23,399) and was age-dependent. After adjustment for age, sex, and other confounders, hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for liver-related mortality in isolated anti-HBc-positive and hepatitis B surface antigen-positive subjects compared with HBV-unexposed subjects were 1.69 (1.22-2.33) and 27.02 (21.45-34.04), respectively. These associations were pronounced in the analyses using liver cancer mortality as an outcome. Among isolated anti-HBc-positive patients, the risks of liver-related and liver cancer mortality were significantly higher in those with high fibrosis-4 scores compared with patients unexposed to HBV with the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of 15.59 (9.21-26.37) and 72.66 (36.96-142.86), respectively. DISCUSSION: In this cohort of Korean adults, isolated anti-HBc positivity was associated with an increased risk of liver-related and liver cancer mortality, especially when accompanied by a high fibrosis score. Isolated anti-HBc positivity may be an independent risk factor for liver-related outcomes, especially in high-endemic areas.

Impact of a Loss-of-Function Variant in HSD17B13 on Hepatic Decompensation and Mortality in Cirrhotic Patients.

A common splice variant in HSD17B13 (rs72613567:TA) was recently found to be associated with a reduced risk of developing chronic liver disease in NAFLD patients and a reduced risk of progression to advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the prognosis of cirrhotic patients harboring this variant. We performed a retrospective analysis on 483 prospectively recruited patients from four different hospitals in Spain, followed-up for at least 5 years. We collected clinical, demographic, and biochemical data, and we performed a genotyping analysis for common variants previously associated with liver disease risk (HSD17B13 rs72613567:TA and PNPLA3 rs738409). Patients homozygous for the TA allele showed a higher MELD score (p = 0.047), Child−Turcotte−Pugh score (p = 0.014), and INR levels (p = 0.046), as well as decreased albumin (p = 0.004) at baseline. After multivariate analysis, patients with the "protective" variant indeed had an increased risk of hepatic decompensation [aHR 2.37 (1.09−5.06); p = 0.029] and liver-related mortality [aHR 2.32 (1.20−4.46); p = 0.012]. Specifically, these patients had an increased risk of developing ascites (Log-R 11.6; p < 0.001), hepatic encephalopathy (Log-R 10.2; p < 0.01), and higher mortality (Log-R 14.1; p < 0.001) at 5 years of follow-up. Interactions with the etiology of the cirrhosis and with the variant rs738409 in PNPLA3 are also described. These findings suggest that the variant rs72613567:TA in HSD17B13 has no protective effect, but indeed increases the risk of decompensation and death in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to the emergency department.

Liver damage worsens the prognosis of coronavirus 19 disease (COVID-19). However, the best strategy to stratify mortality risk according to liver damage has not been established. The aim of this study is to test the predictive value of the validated Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) Index and compared it to liver transaminases and to the AST-to-Platelet ratio index (APRI). Multicenter cohort study including 992 consecutive COVID-19 patients admitted to the Emergency Department. FIB-4 > 3.25 and APRI > 0.7 were used to define liver damage. Multivariable Cox regression and ROC curve analysis for mortality were performed. Secondary endpoints were (1) need for high-flow oxygen and (2) mechanical ventilation. 240 (24.2%) patients had a FIB-4 > 3.25. FIB-4 > 3.25 associated with an increased mortality (n = 119, log-rank test p < 0.001 and adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.72 (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.14-2.59, p = 0.010). ROC analysis for mortality showed that FIB-4 (AUC 0.734, 95% CI 0.705-0.761) had a higher predictive value than AST (p = 0.0018) and ALT (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 > 3.25 was also superior to APRI > 0.7 (AUC 0.58, 95% CI 0.553-0.615, p = 0.0008). Using an optimized cut-off > 2.76 (AUC 0.689, 95% CI 0.659-0.718, p < 0.0001), FIB-4 was superior to FIB-4 > 3.25 (p = 0.0302), APRI > 0.7 (p < 0.0001), AST > 51 (p = 0.0119) and ALT > 42 (p < 0.0001). FIB-4 was also associated with high-flow oxygen use (n = 255, HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.25-2.28, p = 0.001) and mechanical ventilation (n = 39, HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.03-4.19, p = 0.043). FIB-4 score predicts mortality better than liver transaminases and APRI score. FIB-4 score may be an easy tool to identify COVID-19 patients at worse prognosis in the emergency department.

Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis: Prevalence, Predictors, and In-Hospital Mortality at a District Hospital in Ghana.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most severe complications of cirrhosis and portends an ominous prognosis with an estimated mortality of about 50% in a month and 65% within a year. Infection and hypovolemia have been found to be the main precipitating factors of AKI in liver cirrhosis. Early detection and treatment of AKI may improve outcomes. AKI in patients with liver cirrhosis in Ghana and their impact on inpatient mortality are largely unknown. This study was aimed at determining the prevalence, precipitating factors, predictors, and in-hospital mortality of AKI in patients with liver cirrhosis admitted to a district hospital in Ghana. METHODS: Consecutive hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis from 1 January 2018 to 30 April 2020 were recruited. Patient's demographic data and clinical features were collected using a standardized questionnaire. Biochemical and haematological tests as well as abdominal ultrasound scans were done for all patients. All patients were then followed up until discharge or death. RESULTS: There were 117 (65.4%) males out of the 179 patients with a mean age of 49.94 and 45.84 years for those with and without AKI, respectively. The prevalence of AKI was 27.9% (50/179). Out of 50 participants with AKI, 64.0% (32/50) died, contributing 41.0% of all in-patient mortality amongst participants. There was a significant association between AKI and death (p ≤ 0.001). The major precipitating factors of AKI were infections (60.0%), hypovolemia (20.0%) due to gastrointestinal bleeding and gastroenteritis, and refractory ascites (16.0%). Alkaline phosphatase, INR, model for end-stage liver disease sodium, sodium, and blood urea nitrogen were independent predictors of AKI. CONCLUSION: AKI was common among patients with liver cirrhosis with high in-patient mortality. Identification of these precipitants and independent predictors of AKI may lead to prompt and targeted treatment with reduction in patient mortality.

A prediction model for 30-day deaths of cirrhotic patients in intensive care unit hospitalization.

ABSTRACT: The aim of this study was to establish a prediction model for 30-day deaths of cirrhotic patients in intensive care unit.A case-control study involving 1840 patients was conducted in the Medical Information Mart of the Intensive Care Database III version 1.4. The logistic regression with L1 regularization was used to screen out the variables. The 30-day in-hospital death was used as the dependent variable and the selected variables were used as the independent variable to build a random forest model. The performance of the model was validated by the internal validation.The variables screened by logistic regression analysis were the age, heart rate, respiratory rate, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, Oxygen saturation, white blood cells, platelets, red cell distribution width, glucose, blood urea nitrogen, bicarbonate, total bilirubin, hematocrit, alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, bilirubin, Simplified Acute Physiology Score II and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment. The areas under the curve of the random forest model based on these variables was 0.908, and the performance of this model were internally validated with an areas under the curve of 0.801. The random forest model displayed that Simplified Acute Physiology Score, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, blood urea nitrogen, total bilirubin and bilirubin were more important predictors for the 30-day death of cirrhotic patients in intensive care unit.A prediction model for death of cirrhotic patients was developed based on a random forest analysis, providing a tool to evaluate the patients with a high risk of 30-day in-hospital deaths to help clinician make preventive intervention to decrease the mortality.

The Novel Finding of Dynamic Change in eGFR Up to One Year after End of Treatment in HCV-Infected Patients Receiving Sofosbuvir and Velpatasvir.

Background: The results of long-term renal evolution in HCV-infected patients using sofosbuvir and velpatasvir (SOF/VEL), with or without ribavirin (RBV), are lacking. Aims: We evaluated the renal safety for HCV-infected patients receiving SOF/VEL. Methods: Between 1 June 2019 and 6 July 2020, we included 594 HCV-infected patients receiving SOF/VEL +/- RBV for 12 weeks in Taiwan. Viral eradication rate (defined by sustained virological response at week 12 post-treatment; SVR12) and changes to renal function were considered. Results: SVR12 was achieved in 99.3% (590/594) upon per-protocol analysis. Patients saw improved hepatobiliary function and fibrosis after the start of SOF/VEL therapy. For renal function, those with baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60 (mL/min/1.73 m2) experienced transient on-treatment reduction in renal function that improved upon ending treatment, but recurrent eGFR degradation during one-year follow-up. The use of RBV (OR = 5.200, 95% CI: 1.983-13.634, p = 0.001) was a significant risk factor at SVR24, while diabetes mellitus (OR = 2.765, 95% CI: 1.104-6.922, p = 0.030) and the use of RBV (OR = 3.143, 95% CI: 1.047-9.435, p = 0.041) were identified as significant risk factors of worsening renal function at SVR48. SOF/VEL did not worsen renal function among those with stage 4-5 chronic kidney disease (CKD) who were not receiving dialysis. Conclusions: A trend of decline in eGFR at 1 year after SOF/VEL treatment was observed among diabetic patients with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 (mL/min/1.73 m2) and concomitant use of RBV. The close monitoring of renal function is warranted. Further study should be conducted in order to weigh the risks and benefit of RBV.

Low Hemoglobin-to-Red Cell Distribution Width Ratio Is Associated with Mortality in Patients with HBV-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic role of hemoglobin-to-red blood cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DeCi) has not been established. The present study is aimed at determining the potential of HRR as a predictive factor for the prognosis of HBV-DeCi patients. METHODS: The study included 177 HBV-DeCi patients. The clinical outcome was death at 30 days. Multivariate regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis were applied to assess the predictive value of HRR for poor outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 26 patients (14.7%) had died by 30 days. Patients with unfavorable outcomes had lower HRR than patients with favorable outcomes. Multivariate analysis revealed that HRR and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were independently associated with poor outcomes. Combination of HRR and MELD score may improve prognostic accuracy in HBV-DeCi. CONCLUSIONS: The present findings indicate that low HRR may be a promising predictor for mortality in HBV-DeCi patients.

Relationship Between Etiology of Cirrhosis and Survival Among Patients Hospitalized in Intensive Care Units.

OBJECTIVE: To determine short-term outcomes of patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) compared with other etiologies of liver disease. In addition, we investigate whether quick sequential organ failure assessment accurately predicts presence of sepsis and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with various etiologies of cirrhosis. METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 1174 consecutive patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU between January of 2006 and December of 2015 was analyzed. Outcomes of interest included survival rates within the ICU, post-ICU in-hospital, or at 30 days post-ICU discharge. RESULTS: Five hundred seventy-eight patients were found to have ALC with 596 in the non-ALC group. There was no significant difference in ICU mortality rates in ALC versus non-ALC cohorts (10.2% vs 11.7%, P=.40). However, patients with ALC had significantly higher post-ICU in-hospital death (10.0% vs 6.5%, P=.04) as well as higher mortality at 30-day post-ICU discharge (18.7% vs 11.2%, P<.001). Sustained alcohol abstinence did not offer survival advantage over nonabstinence. The predictive power for quick sequential organ failure assessment for sepsis and in-hospital mortality for patients with cirrhosis was limited. CONCLUSION: Critically ill patients with ALC have decreased survival after ICU discharge compared with patients with other etiologies of cirrhosis, independent of alcohol abstinence.

Prediction of Patient Survival with Psoas Muscle Density Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND Psoas muscle density (PMD) as a nutritional indicator is a tool to evaluate sarcopenia, which is commonly diagnosed in patients with liver cirrhosis. However, there are limited data on its role in patients who have received a transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). We aimed to determine the utility of PMD in predicting mortality of patients with TIPS implantation and to compare the clinical value of PMD, Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and MELD paired with serum sodium measurement (MELD-Na) score in predicting post-TIPS survival in 1 year. MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective study included 273 patients who met the criteria for study inclusion. All participants underwent computed tomography (CT) scans, Child-Pugh score evaluation, MELD-Na scoring, and MELD scoring. Post-TIPS survival time was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The prognostic values of scoring models such as the Child-Pugh score, MELD, MELD-Na, and PMD were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. RESULTS During the 1-year follow-up period, 31 of 273 (11.36%) post-TIPS patients died. Multivariate analysis identified PMD as an independent protective factor. PMD showed a good ability to predict the occurrence of an endpoint within 1 year after TIPS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for PMD, Child-Pugh score, MELD score, and MELD-Na for predicting mortality were, respectively, 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.663-0.773), 0.59 (95% CI: 0.531-0.651), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.535-0.655), and 0.58 (95% CI: 0.487-0.608). CONCLUSIONS PMD has appreciable clinical value for predicting the mortality of patients with TIPS implantation. In addition, PMD is superior to established scoring systems for identifying high-risk patients with a poor prognosis.

Effect of sarcopenia on survival in patients with cirrhosis: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The association between sarcopenia and prognosis in patients with cirrhosis remains to be determined. In this study, we aimed to quantify the association between sarcopenia and the risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis, stratified by sex, underlying liver disease etiology, and severity of hepatic dysfunction. METHODS: PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, and major scientific conference sessions were searched without language restriction through 13 January 2021 with an additional manual search of bibliographies of relevant articles. Cohort studies of ≥100 patients with cirrhosis and ≥12 months of follow-up that evaluated the association between sarcopenia, muscle mass and the risk of mortality were included. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies involving 6,965 patients with cirrhosis were included. The pooled prevalence of sarcopenia in patients with cirrhosis was 37.5% overall (95% CI 32.4%-42.8%), and was higher in male patients, those with alcohol-associated liver disease, those with Child-Pugh grade C cirrhosis, and when sarcopenia was defined by L3-SMI (third lumbar-skeletal muscle index). Sarcopenia was associated with an increased risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.30, 95% CI 2.01-2.63), with similar findings in a sensitivity analysis of patients with cirrhosis without hepatocellular carcinoma (aHR 2.35, 95% CI 1.95-2.83) and in subgroups stratified by sex, liver disease etiology, and severity of hepatic dysfunction. The association between quantitative muscle mass index and mortality further supports the association between sarcopenia and poor prognosis (aHR 0.95, 95% CI 0.93-0.98). There was no significant heterogeneity in any of our analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Sarcopenia was highly and independently associated with higher risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. LAY SUMMARY: The prevalence of sarcopenia and its association with death in patients with cirrhosis remain unclear. This meta-analysis indicated that sarcopenia affected about one-third of patients with cirrhosis and up to 50% of patients with alcohol-related liver disease or Child-Pugh class C cirrhosis. Sarcopenia was independently associated with an ∼2-fold higher risk of mortality in patients with cirrhosis. The mortality rate increased with greater severity or longer durations of sarcopenia. Increasing awareness about the importance of sarcopenia in patients with cirrhosis among stakeholders must be prioritized.

Aldehyde dehydrogenase expression may be a prognostic biomarker and associated with liver cirrhosis in patients resected for hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Several members of the aldehyde dehydrogenase (ALDH) isoenzyme family have been suggested as prognostic biomarkers in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the study was to evaluate overall ALDH family member expression by RNA sequencing and hierarchical clustering in tumor and adjacent liver tissue to predict survival and evaluate correlation with liver cirrhosis in patients undergoing liver resection for HCC. METHODS: We included patients having undergone liver resection for HCC between May 2014 and January 2018 at a tertiary referral university hospital (Copenhagen University Hospital, Rigshospitalet, Denmark). ALDH family member expression was evaluated by RNA sequencing of tumor and non-tumor liver tissue. Hierarchical clustering of ALDH genes was used to identify patient groups and correlations were established with overall survival, recurrence and histological features. RESULTS: Fifty-two patients were included with 88.5% males, 84.6% with only one HCC and 73.1% with a non-cirrhotic background liver. Median follow-up was 45.7 months. Patients in one cluster defined by its ALDH expression in the tumor tissue showed significantly worse overall survival (log-rank p = 0.015), also when adjusted for age, cirrhosis, microvascular invasion, resection margins and tumor number (hazard ratio 4.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.5-11.9, p = 0.007). When evaluated individually, the isoenzyme ALDH1L1 may be of particular importance. Several clusters in non-tumor tissue were correlated with cirrhosis. Especially one cluster had a high discriminative ability (area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.839) and remained significantly associated with cirrhosis when corrected for age, microvascular invasion, resection margins and tumor number (odds ratio 44.2, 95% CI 5.5-352.0, p < 0.001). The combination of ALDH and a previously identified candidate biomarker (expression signature of the transcriptional targets of the peroxisome proliferator-activated receptors (PPARs)) may add additional prognostic value. CONCLUSION: The expression of ALDH family members in HCC was correlated with overall survival. Moreover, ALDH expression in non-tumor liver tissue was correlated with cirrhosis. Members of the ALDH family of enzymes may serve as a prognostic biomarker as well as potential targets for systemic treatment.

Safety and Efficacy of Bariatric Surgery in Cirrhosis Patients With Extreme Obesity.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the safety and efficacy of bariatric surgery in patients with cirrhosis. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Bariatric surgery may be a viable option for patients with cirrhosis and extreme obesity. However, the risk of liver decompensation after surgery is not thoroughly investigated. METHODS: We conducted a case-controlled study with 106 obese patients with cirrhosis (cases) and 317 age, sex, body mass index-, and type of surgery-matched obese patients without cirrhosis (controls) who underwent bariatric surgery. RESULTS: Patients with cirrhosis were predominantly Child-Pugh class A (97%) with the diagnosis established prior to surgery in only 46%. In the cirrhosis group, there was no death in the first 30 days compared with 1 patient in the control group. At 90 days there was 1 death in the cirrhosis group but no additional deaths in the control group. In total, 12 months after the surgery, there were 3 deaths in the cirrhosis group and 1 in the control group (2.8% vs 0.6%, P = 0.056). The surgery-related length of stay was significantly longer in patients with cirrhosis (3.7 ±â€Š4.0 vs 2.6 ±â€Š2.4 d, P = 0.001), but the 30-day readmission rate was lower (7.5% vs 11.9%, P = 0.001). The percent of total weight loss at 30 and 90-days was not significantly different between the groups and remained that way even at 1 year (29.1 ±â€Š10.9 vs 31.2 ±â€Š9.4%, P = 0.096). CONCLUSIONS: Bariatric surgery in obese cirrhotic patients is not associated with excessive mortality compared with noncirrhotic obese patients.